Projected population on 1 January. By evolution scenarios and large age groups
From 0 to 15 years | From 16 to 64 years | 65 years and over | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of persons | % | Number of persons | % | Number of persons | % | Total | |
2025 | |||||||
Low scenario | 1,125,213 | 14.7 | 4,976,528 | 65.0 | 1,557,936 | 20.3 | 7,659,677 |
Medium scenario | 1,166,420 | 14.8 | 5,134,293 | 65.1 | 1,587,121 | 20.1 | 7,887,834 |
High scenario | 1,203,337 | 14.9 | 5,279,593 | 65.2 | 1,609,830 | 19.9 | 8,092,760 |
2030 | |||||||
Low scenario | 999,822 | 13.1 | 4,914,413 | 64.5 | 1,704,599 | 22.4 | 7,618,834 |
Medium scenario | 1,102,333 | 13.7 | 5,205,387 | 64.5 | 1,765,609 | 21.9 | 8,073,329 |
High scenario | 1,206,552 | 14.1 | 5,515,583 | 64.6 | 1,814,414 | 21.3 | 8,536,549 |
2035 | |||||||
Low scenario | 922,723 | 12.2 | 4,777,439 | 63.1 | 1,875,750 | 24.8 | 7,575,912 |
Medium scenario | 1,093,843 | 13.3 | 5,175,385 | 62.8 | 1,966,897 | 23.9 | 8,236,125 |
High scenario | 1,269,152 | 14.3 | 5,576,888 | 62.7 | 2,046,547 | 23.0 | 8,892,587 |
2040 | |||||||
Low scenario | 909,465 | 12.1 | 4,553,037 | 60.6 | 2,051,598 | 27.3 | 7,514,100 |
Medium scenario | 1,139,234 | 13.6 | 5,062,087 | 60.3 | 2,187,496 | 26.1 | 8,388,817 |
High scenario | 1,373,587 | 14.9 | 5,534,431 | 60.1 | 2,307,107 | 25.0 | 9,215,125 |
2045 | |||||||
Low scenario | 910,611 | 12.3 | 4,318,212 | 58.2 | 2,196,000 | 29.6 | 7,424,823 |
Medium scenario | 1,172,917 | 13.8 | 4,952,336 | 58.2 | 2,391,000 | 28.1 | 8,516,253 |
High scenario | 1,438,585 | 15.1 | 5,511,564 | 57.9 | 2,562,377 | 26.9 | 9,512,526 |
2050 | |||||||
Low scenario | 901,545 | 12.3 | 4,171,626 | 57.1 | 2,226,876 | 30.5 | 7,300,047 |
Medium scenario | 1,179,446 | 13.7 | 4,939,434 | 57.4 | 2,490,039 | 28.9 | 8,608,919 |
High scenario | 1,455,269 | 14.9 | 5,598,893 | 57.3 | 2,723,917 | 27.9 | 9,778,079 |
2055 | |||||||
Low scenario | 875,362 | 12.3 | 4,076,467 | 57.1 | 2,187,005 | 30.6 | 7,138,834 |
Medium scenario | 1,167,060 | 13.5 | 4,971,885 | 57.4 | 2,526,935 | 29.2 | 8,665,880 |
High scenario | 1,453,396 | 14.5 | 5,727,146 | 57.2 | 2,835,202 | 28.3 | 10,015,744 |
2060 | |||||||
Low scenario | 839,144 | 12.1 | 3,989,854 | 57.4 | 2,119,708 | 30.5 | 6,948,706 |
Medium scenario | 1,150,615 | 13.2 | 4,998,534 | 57.5 | 2,544,381 | 29.3 | 8,693,530 |
High scenario | 1,458,676 | 14.3 | 5,835,625 | 57.0 | 2,938,993 | 28.7 | 10,233,294 |
2065 | |||||||
Low scenario | 806,308 | 12.0 | 3,901,466 | 57.8 | 2,036,976 | 30.2 | 6,744,750 |
Medium scenario | 1,142,854 | 13.1 | 5,013,103 | 57.6 | 2,547,021 | 29.3 | 8,702,978 |
High scenario | 1,482,396 | 14.2 | 5,922,723 | 56.7 | 3,033,183 | 29.1 | 10,438,302 |
2070 | |||||||
Low scenario | 782,614 | 12.0 | 3,795,868 | 58.0 | 1,964,530 | 30.0 | 6,543,012 |
Medium scenario | 1,145,544 | 13.2 | 5,004,836 | 57.5 | 2,555,451 | 29.4 | 8,705,831 |
High scenario | 1,517,745 | 14.3 | 5,988,433 | 56.3 | 3,129,152 | 29.4 | 10,635,330 |
Source: Idescat. Population Projections (base 2021). |
Last update: April 7, 2022.
Methodological note
Methodological aspects
The goal of population projections is to describe possible future population evolution, both in total size and according to different variables: sex and age; place of residence; composition of the household; relationship with the activity.
Idescat updates population projections in five-year cycles.
The current projections are the Population Projections of Catalonia (base 2021) and an update of the Population Projections of Catalonia (base 2018).
The advance base Population Projections 2021 provide data for Catalonia. The starting point is the population on 1 January 2021, which includes the increase in mortality and the decrease in fertility and migration resulting from the pandemic in 2020. Data are provided for the period 2021-2071.
There are three projection scenarios: low, medium and high. Three scenarios have been developed for each of the projection items: fertility, life expectancy, internal migration, migration with the rest of Spain and migration with foreign countries.
The medium scenario assumes a combination of average fertility, average life expectancy and average migration (with the rest of Spain and foreign countries). This scenario is intended to reflect the most likely evolution of demographic growth and structure in Catalonia according to recent data. The medium scenario is considered as the reference scenario.
When the value is lower than that of the minimum unit to be able to estimate the statistical operation or if it effects statistical confidentiality, the symbol used is "..".
Available tables [+]
-
Demography · Society
-
Population
- Population figures
- Censuses and demographic surveys
- Foreign population
- Households, families and marriages
- Births and deaths
- Migrations
- Commuting and seasonal population
-
Projections
-
Population
- By evolution scenarios and large age groups
- By evolution scenarios. Counties and Aran, areas and provinces
- By size of municipality and large age groups. Medium scenario
- Active population
- School-age population
- Projected households
-
Population
- Names and surnames
- Culture · Language
- Education
- Elections
- Justice · Public order and safety
- Health
- Labour
-
Population
- Quality of life
- Economy
- Economic sectors
- Environment · Territory